Congratulations to the Officers of Syracuse Liverpool Lodge

Adhering to NYS reopening guidelines and the NYS Grand Lodge directive on social distancing and facemasks, Syracuse Liverpool Lodge No.501 successfully elected and installed their officers on Monday, Aug 3rd 2020. The five elected officers installed are

W∴ Robert D. Bowles – Master
Brother Rainer D. Grimme – Senior Warden
Brother James D. Colditz Jr. – Junior Warden
R∴W∴ Ralph I. Haney Jr. – Treasurer
R∴W∴ Gary L. Heinmiller – Secretary

Fellowcraft Degree

Our new brothers will be receiving their Fellowcraft Degree on April 6th.

Don’t forget our yearly kids day Easter Egg Hunt on Saturday April 11th. It’s free and fun, more to follow.

East Egg Hunt

Liverpool-Syracuse Annual Kids Day Easter Egg Hunt

Same Time Same Place

Prizes – Hoffman Hotdogs – Drinks – Popcorn

All Free!

April 11th The Saturday before Easter
Mark your calendars

Second Degree – CANCEL

Liverpool Syracuse #501 will be canceling Sunday 3/15/2020 practice and Monday 3/16/2020 2nd degree and stated communication due to some illness.

There is no need to expose our members to illness of any kind at this time of uncertainty.
Precaution is the best plan.

The next stated communication is scheduled for April 6th and as for now the plan is to have the 2nd degree at this time.

Overview of Electoral Polls and their Statistical Problems

Open to the Public

Announcement of Presentation on November 20 2019

The Electoral Season always brings up the vote intention from polls (or surveys) that candidates, pundits and journalists use (and even misuse) to assess who is ahead in each political contest. We often hear or read that “candidate X is ahead, with 47% of vote intention, to only 45% for his opponent”. Such statement is statistically incomplete and incorrect. In addition, there are other technical complications.

For example, many people use cell instead of land phones, which are mostly unlisted. Hence, these people are difficult to reach by surveys. Others, use answering machines and caller Id devices as screening mechanisms, to identify callers before deciding to take their call. This curtails access to many potential survey subjects, which can seriously invalidate (or bias) the sample and its results.

Such problems have resulted in some polls grossly overstating or understating the status of the candidates. Recent cases include the US 2016 presidential election and the British referendum on Brexit The current presentation will discuss surveys and their problems in layman’s terms.

—&—

Note: Dr. Jorge Luis Romeu is a professional statistician with 45+ years of experience in teaching, research and consulting. He retired Emeritus from SUNY Cortland, worked as Senior Engineer, for IIT Research Institute, in the Reliability Analysis Center, Rome Lab, and was, for 16 years, a Research Professor, at Syracuse University. He currently teaches part time graduate statistics courses at SU.